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# The Election Was a Blowout. What Will that Mean for the Energy Transition?
- URL: https://www.cleantechwriting.com/the-election-was-a-blowout-what-will-that-mean-for-the-energy-transition/
- Published: 2026-11-05T21:25:30.000Z
- Updated: 2026-11-05T21:25:30.000Z
- Author: Lakis Polycarpou

As you’ve no doubt heard, the U.S. midterm elections on Tuesday were a blowout. Even forecasters who had predicted a blue wave were surprised by the breadth and depth of the shift. Democrats narrowly won races that seemed completely out of reach a few months ago and defeated Republican opponents by large margins in races that were supposed to be close. In January, Democrats will control both the Senate and the House of Representatives by significant margins.

This blue wave will almost certainly have big implications for energy policy and the clean energy transition over the next two years.

The scale and scope of the potential change, however, is not immediately clear. Globally, renewable energy stocks rallied, with investors betting on a more favorable policy environment and less “regulatory uncertainty” [according to Bloomberg](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-11-04/global-solar-stocks-jump-as-democrats-hold-early-us-midterm-lead?leadSource=uverify%20wall&ref=cleantechwriting.com).

What that means in practice, however, remains unclear. There are likely to be many twists and turns in this story over the next few months, and probably more than a few surprises.

On that note, here are some of the stories I’m keeping an eye on.

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## Restoration of Clean Energy Tax Credits

The Biden Administration's Inflation Reduction Act extended and expanded large tax credits for clean electricity generation, energy storage, electric vehicles, and building electrification projects.

In 2025, the Trump administration and its congressional allies rolled back and dismantled these incentives—first through executive orders that disrupted their funding, and then with the Big Beautiful Bill Act, which abruptly cut the incentive timeline, terminating the key tax incentives by the end of the year.

With control of the House and Senate, Democrats could, in theory, use their leverage over the budget to restore at least some of those credits.

While there appears to be limited appetite for restoring the EV tax credit, Democrats are signaling a desire to restore wind and solar credits, [according to Heatmap](https://heatmap.news/politics/democrats-retake-the-house?utm%5Fcampaign=heatmap%5Fdaily%5Fpaid&utm%5Fmedium=email&%5Fhsenc=p2ANqtz--g4XcU2FneHHP%5FRmF5aLJM-i0MHdSCxQYzFa2F4ZK7lJ8723w7NDC5RqhWOxKPHGho0%5FnTjvBFGLw%5FZrZEy5fkU6KpCtre0T825inB21Vph4zrK4s&%5Fhsmi=447624818&utm%5Fcontent=447624818&utm%5Fsource=hs%5Femail). Given the administration’s deep hostility to both, however, it’s unclear what, if any, credits would actually survive negotiations with the President.

Bipartisan support in Congress also seems unlikely. Last April, a group of six Republicans [sponsored a bill](https://legiscan.com/US/bill/HB8477/2025?guid=ra6GGnPZscBS2eDnpR0bf&ref=cleantechwriting.com) to extend some of the renewable tax credits. Not surprisingly, that bill was dead on arrival in the Republican-controlled Congress. Six out of seven of the Republican sponsors of that bill lost their seats in Tuesday’s election.

## Permitting Reform

Politicians on both sides of the aisle have been pushing for permitting reform for some time now, though hoping for different outcomes. Republicans believe that excessive regulation has harmed oil and gas development, while Democrats who favor clean energy blame red tape for making it harder to build and connect renewables and storage to the grid.

![An electrical substation.](https://www.cleantechwriting.com/content/images/2026/11/electrical-power-substation-transformers-insulators-Depositphotos_55980151_XL.jpg)

The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act (BAAJA) would prevent federal agencies from revoking construction and operating permits after they’ve been approved, restrict post-approval legal challenges, and shorten the deadlines for environmental review. [It would also require](https://heatmap.news/politics/baaja-transmission?ref=cleantechwriting.com) interregional grid planning and make it easier to build interstate high-voltage lines.

Given the preexisting bipartisan support for an existing bill, permitting reform seems like an obvious potential winner for the new Congress. But according to [a Heatmap article](https://heatmap.news/politics/midterms-permitting-reform?utm%5Fcampaign=heatmap%5Fdaily%5Fpaid&utm%5Fmedium=email&%5Fhsenc=p2ANqtz-%5FP%5FSss9v2G038F8ESZMMToCkPYIL-EGAciOEt1%5FaP0L5VS3PV8pn3WXEyWP35tdbYJ9guQ92INQtq%5FkDkAz%5F1BKCCEM7LNzk7i0-ayl%5FvUj4JxlxA&%5Fhsmi=447624818&utm%5Fcontent=447624818&utm%5Fsource=hs%5Femail), post-election prospects for the bill may worse then before, as some Democrats want to hold off until after 2028 when they may have more leverage. Democrats are also unlikely to support a bill until the Trump administration stops blocking wind projects.

## Oversight

The administration has used almost any pretext to block renewable energy.

The Interior Department has [“elevated” the review process](https://www.doi.gov/pressreleases/interior-ends-preferential-treatment-unreliable-subsidy-dependent-wind-and-solar?ref=cleantechwriting.com) for all wind and solar projects on public land, with the clear aim of blocking as many projects as possible.

At the same time, the Department of Defense for months [deployed a routine review](https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/wind/pentagon-wind-farm-blockade-over?ref=cleantechwriting.com) process to create a “de-facto moratorium” on all wind development. In August, [a federal court](https://www.sierraclub.org/press-releases/2026/08/victory-court-overturns-trump-administration-s-wind-pause?ref=cleantechwriting.com) ruled that the DoD freeze “violates statutory and regulatory deadlines” and ordered the DoD to resume reviews.

![Moody image of wind turbines in a field.](https://www.cleantechwriting.com/content/images/2026/11/pexels-chris-black-78566801-17340593.jpg)

The administration has also attempted to buy out leases for offshore wind development, including offering a $1 billion payout to French energy giant Total to stop development of an offshore wind project that Democrats have called illegal.

Until now, renewable developers and states have had little recourse to fight these outside the courts. Come January, however, Democrats in Congress are expected [to hold hearings on all aspect of the administration’s energy policy](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/11/05/trump-election-energy-venezuela-critical-mineral-renewable-iran.html?ref=cleantechwriting.com), including legally questionable deals for Venezuelan and Russian oil, minerals, the Iran War — along with efforts to shut down renewable energy development.

Shining a light on the various moves members of the administration has used to kneecap renewable energy — especially the illegal ones — could pressure them to loosen the grip and get projects moving again. 

## Local Votes that Matter

At the state level, Democrats [took control of a majority of state legislatures](https://stateline.org/2026/11/04/in-blue-wave-democrats-flipped-legislatures-won-trifectas-and-toppled-gop-supermajorities/?ref=cleantechwriting.com) and governorships. These wins will have direct impacts on data centers and [large load policy](https://www.latitudemedia.com/research/the-terms-of-power-inside-the-new-utility-rates-for-data-centers/?ref=cleantechwriting.com), state level clean energy incentives, how regulated utilities set rates, and more.

In places like Georgia, voters also gave Democrats control of the five-member Public Service Commission in response to affordability concerns and the political power of the state’s monopoly utility.

Voters also weighed in weighed in on ballot initiatives that directly impact energy transition. Residents of Michigan voted to ban utilities from donating to state politicians. Voters in Colorado rejected a constitutional “right to natural gas” amendment that would have blocked local initiates to phasing out natural gas infrastructure.

Finally, voters across states delivered a resounding message for data center developers, passing 40 out of 41 local initiatives that imposed moratoria on data center development — a significant result given massive impacts of data centers on energy consumption and the climate.

The next two years will be interesting. While there's no conceivable way that clean energy will receive the federal support it had during the Biden administration, it seems likely that the industry has moved past the most challenge phase. 

There will no doubt be more developments coming soon.

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That’s it for this week. What did I miss? What do you think are the most important policy implications of the big blue wave? I’d love to hear from you.

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